The federal Liberals, already holding a solid lead among women, are now the top choice for male voters, a new Mainstreet Research poll suggests.
Justin Trudeau’s Liberals were the top choice of 40 per cent of male leaning and decided respondents in Mainstreet’s latest survey, which drew upon the responses of 1,283 adults from June 25-26. The Conservatives were second with 31.4 per cent of support, followed by the NDP at 13.5 per cent and the Bloc Québécois, which runs candidates only in La Belle Province, at 5 per cent. The Greens were in fifth at 4.1, while the seatless People’s Party sat last with 3.8 per cent.
The margin of error for the automated telephone survey was plus or minus 2.7 percentage points at the 95-per-cent confidence level, according to Mainstreet. However, the margin of error is higher in all subsamples because the number of respondents captured is lower.
In last month’s Mainstreet poll, the Liberals and Tories were statistically tied among men.
Meanwhile, the Liberals lead the Conservatives by nearly 23 points among leaning and decided women (46.4 to 23.5 per cent) in the June survey, with the NDP in third (14.7 per cent). The Bloc was fourth at 6.4 per cent, followed by Greens at 5.5 per cent and the People’s Party at 2.1 per cent.
In the May poll, the Liberals led the Tories among women by nearly 30 points.
Among the 21 per cent or so of respondents who self-identified as racialized, the Liberals lead the Tories 45.1-26.7 per cent among leaning and decided respondents, with the NDP third at 16.5 per cent and the Greens in fourth at 4.6 per cent. The Bloc dropped down to 2.9 per cent, while the People’s Party stood at 2 per cent.
Voting preferences among the 66 per cent of so who identified as non-racialized don’t differ that much from the overall numbers, with the Liberals in first at 40.8 per cent, followed by the Conservatives at 27.1 per cent, the NDP at 13.9 per cent, the Bloc at 6.2 per cent, the Greens at 5.3 per cent and the People’s Party at 3.4 per cent. About 11 per cent of respondents wouldn’t say whether they identified as racialized or not.
By region, support for the Liberals is highest in the Atlantic provinces (53.3 per cent), Quebec (48.6), Ontario (47.9) and B.C. (35 per cent), while the governing party’s worst showings are in Alberta (27.7 per cent) and the Prairies (30.3).
The Conservatives are ahead in Alberta and the Prairies by healthy margins, grabbing the support of 49.9 and 44.4 per cent of respondents, though they have slipped to second in B.C. (31.6), behind the Liberals.
The Greens fared the best in B.C., drawing the support of 7.1 per cent of respondents, down from 12.1 in May. The party trails the NDP in the province, which has 17.3 per cent support. The NDP’s best showing is in the Prairies at 17.9 per cent.